The average is short. The tail is long.
A straightforward online application is now cleared in a matter of weeks, not months. That is a genuine and recent change: the same service was averaging around three months at the end of 2023, and the recovery is real rather than presentational.
But an average conceals the shape of the distribution, and here the shape is the story. On HMCTS's own evaluation data, the longest tenth of cases ran past 208 days at the worst of the backlog, and still took 126 days for cases received in the first quarter of 2025. Half the applicants are through in about a week. Some are still waiting after four months.
Which half you land in is largely decided before you submit. A complete application that is never stopped moves quickly; one that is stopped for a missing document does not — and that single variable does more to your timeline than the size or complexity of the estate.
Five published figures. None of them wrong. All of them different.
The reason no two websites agree on how long this takes is that they are quoting different measures without saying so. Here is each one with what it actually counts, so you can tell which applies to you.
The two figures most often mistaken for each other are the last two. “Usually within 12 weeks” is a service expectation, not a statistic — it describes what applicants are told to plan for, and it has not moved as performance improved. The measured figures moved a great deal.
Informational, not advice. These figures are HMCTS's and they move — confirm the current position on GOV.UK before relying on them. Checked 2026-08-20.
Cite this figure: Valoren, “Probate Waiting Times,” https://valoren.uk/figures/probate-wait-times (verified 20 Aug 2026).